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Opae o ooc poocex ycaoo opypyc cey opao (O epo poy poao a pe opaeo a epepaoy e oe pea poocex ooce pep):

m x + d x PC1 (4.4) i ij j i j e PC1 - acaa poocea ooc o poya i epo epepaoe;

d - ye pacxo i-o poy epo epepao ij apaeo a pooca opo epepao.

Ceyee opaee ec o, o peoee pepe aoo a xecx poyo oo cooecoa poe ooc x o ( peyae x pacpe cpeecpoo epcee), paeoe epe pacxo poyo epo epepao:

p x i PC2 (4.5) j i d ij PC2 - poea ooc o poocy j-o a poyo j opo epepao.

poe oo oe yac caape opae o oca a pecypco (pacxo a epoe cp, pe apa a oay pya, epeee cocae oepoocex aax pacxoo, epeee cocae oepecx ypaeecx pacxoo ..).

yc oeco pooc ye aao aca aee K. aoe x pooc xapaepyec eopo oec poyo epo epepao (I ) oeco k poyo opo epepao( J ). aoo k-o pooca k opae o pecypca(peoo L o pecypco) e :

no cp:

k k a x b - 1-a epepaoa (4.6) li i l i k k a x b - 2-a epepaoa (4.7) lj j l j k k e a, a - yee eca pacxoo l-o cp oox o li lj epepao.

no oeaocu pecypca:

k a x b (4.8) lk k l p o ec eoxoo poec oopepay oa, o coyec ec eo ecox oeo p cooecyx ex:

g s G = max (4.9) s norm s g s e - ecoo oe s-o e;

s norm g - oppyee aee s-o e. Hoppyee aee s oyaec p pee aa o oeo s-o e.

Oey, o ex opaex, e e pecae ec oepo pooc, ec peoaac ye poecce poee peax cox oeo.

B cooec co caa paee oeo oe o cooac ece acoe oe (op, aoo oeceeoc cocex cpec) eaco ao e opae, eea y .. Ec oe ocoeoc cooa oee acoo ycooc ocoeoc pooceo-apeooo peypoa, o peya oe oee o.

Mao oyc o poa coxpae acoo ycooc oe pae epe oe op:

norm MNS = K ( pb - pb - pb - pb ) - ab (4.10) 1 3 3, 640 3, 650 3, 660 C pyo copo c yeo pooceo-cooo aa 4.10 ee :

p x m i MNS = (x + d x ) + ( ) (4.11) i ij j j i d ij Ceoaeo:

p x m norm i (x + d x ) + ( ) = K ( pb - pb - pb - pb ) - ab i ij j 1 3 3, 640 3, 650 3, 660 j i d ij (4.12) Coooee 4.12 ec o oaaec eoxooc coee poe o aco ooa poe pooceo-cooo xapaepa oy oe.

B pyy opae oeaocx pecypco pcoec epop o ypae aa acca pep (eopca peopca aoeoc, oepece pacxo ..). C oo aoo acca opae (o acoo cpyype) opeec pa pacxoo a epop o ypae aa acca pep(apep, acaa o epacpeeeo p, paeo epe pooceo-coo oaae, apaea a oaee peopco aoeoc a pacxo a cooaeoe cp, pae epe o paepa oopox ao pep). Toa oe c yo eeoo oaae 4.popeae :

Moe 1:

p x m norm i G = (x + d x ) + ( ) = K ( pb - pb - pb - pb ) i ij j 1 3 3, 640 3, 650 3, j i d ij - ab max m x + d x PC i ij j i j p x i PC j i d ij k k a x b li i l i k k a x b lj j l j k a x b lk k l B oceee opaee aec ooeoe oeco l o epop o ypae aa acca (peoo l = 20,30).

co cpeao oo (a ye o caao e) xapaepyc cee eopeeeoc ecaoc opaoo oecee poecce p pee. Oo xapaepx ep ec eopeeeoc cpoca a cp epooc xapaep cpoca a ooy poy, eopeeeoc ex aopo ( acoc o peypoa o ocex aoo a eoope pooo poy ayaeo poy e cp). B eop aeaecoo oepoa opae cyax poecco peec aapa coxacecoo popapoa. B aece pepa epec ocaoa aa a aaeo M-ocaoe, e pocxo aca ( a) aeaecoo oa eeo y. Ocoe o eop epooc pee paee ae 3, a caa oe eocpeceo pecaea ae 4, p o yaao, o aa oe peec oe poyox ooo. ooy eoxoo coppepoa e cya cea ypae poyo aco ooa. paccapaeo oe oa e xocex ooo eexecx eeepepaaax pep coxaceca oe popeae :

p x m i (4.13) G = (x + d x ) + ( ) max i ij j j i d ij m x + d x PC1 (4.14) i ij j i j p x i PC2 (4.15) j i d ij k k a x b (4.16) li i l i k k a x b (4.17) lj j l j k a x b (4.18) lk k l ypoe aeeo aaa ocee opae oe yy yac opae o acoo cpyype pep (.e. epop o oppepoe acox ooo).

epexoa eeppoaoy apay cooecye opae oc oea epooc, c oopo opaee oe oeo. oppepoe oepac opae 4.16-4.18. Hapep, opae 4.eeppoa apa ee :

k k k a x + h (x,,, ) b lj j l j l lj lj l j k k 2 2 a x + t( ) x + b lj j l lj j l l j B poecce peaa oe pepe pae aoy aeaecy oe, a oopo ye cpoc opea paa oe. cya oe poecco oee eexecx pep coyec aapa eeoo aeaecoo popapoa. p ocpoe oe ypae xoce ooa oe ocec eopeeeoc ooecx poecco, peec oe coxacecoo popapoa.

p paeco peaa eea y oe poc y oe acaoo oa poa a oaae apapoaoo peyaa oye aoo paepa oea op(oe op oe eye oc e yoeope peya p oye ae aoo oa poa paoo pao ac coooe 4.12 a 4) a pep.

pee e poec oecey oey peayeo oe oe, o eoope eexecx poyo ee ee , a opeee py pox cooa o cp, .e. coo c o pax o cp xo opeee oapo poy. oecee ae, oyee p oee o coxaceco oe, oo oe ce ceape (a ye o caao paee o ecccec, aoee peacec ocec).

cxo a oe ocec peayeo oe c epe a poy - a a epo epepao a a opo epepao. p o poy opo epepao coy co pooce a poya epo epepao. aoe acoo-ooece oaae o ce epe a poyo, coyee p ocpoe coxaceco oe pee poe 1 ccepaoo pao. poe oo, poe 2 poc ceoe pecaee cxoo coxaceco oe.

Peaa oe pooac c oo aea Excel 2000, a ocoe popa pee aa eex oee coxacecoo popapoa. B oe ye pae ypo epooc cyax e cooecyx acooooecx oaaee. pepe oce cox oax ee e a ooee ep, .e. popeaec ooe pecypc. p o oe peya ye yeac, .e. yeaec a oe poa. p yee a aaeoo aoo oa poa aee oe op ye yeac.

Peya oe ee eeo y yy cey:

alfa aee eee poy-1 poy-2 poy-3 poy-0,5 170224408 1 31649 9443 0 0,6 163437755 0,960131141 25629 12333 1830 0,7 155461708 0,913275069 26454 13430 0 0,8 128101250 0,752543372 21755 11101 0 0,9 102535492 0,602354816 17349 8937 0 170224408 163437755 155461708 128101250 aee 0,5 0,6 0,7 0,8 0,alfa epooc oyee peya oo oe ocec a a popee ooex pecypco, .e. yeaec pacoaae pecypc, ceoaeo, eexecoe pepe opaeo cox ooocx. e ox ooex pecypco popeaec pepe, e e epceoc pooca poa poyo epo epepao, o p o o poa ye coxpae.

Ta opao, pepe oe oe o oye a, aoe pooco oe epce acoc o ee opae eoo apoa (oepece ypaeece pacxo, pacxo a xpaee) opae pooceoo xapaepa (opae o ooc ycaoo epo opo epepao). p ocpoe pepeccoo oe coooe ey ypoe epooc aee aee eeo y opeeec oe eepa. o peyaa opao ax o oe oaac pa 0.956735032, o oop o o, o oyaeoe ypaee pepecc ocaoo oo ocae cacece ae. Ceoaeo, c oo oyaeo acoc oo opee aee aapyeoo oaae cooec co aee epooc.

Aaoo oo poo aa coooe c ooce eee eeoo oaae cooec c eeppoa apao oe.

Bo:

1. Ha ocoa peoex ooo-aeaecx oee oaa aoee oe y peaa exooecx poecco oye oypoyoepeao eeepepao eex.

Maeaece oope ooecoo aaa eexecx poecco oo pecpyyppoa eeoc pep eeepepaaaeo eexecoo oeca cpeax ycox.

2. coy aepa o pepcoy ocepcoy pa pep, yaoc copypoa ocoeoc oee pep eeepepaaaeo eexecoo oeca cpeao ooe c aoee ooex apepo ocpoe epcex ceape eeoc.

3. peoea eooo poee oppepo eeoc pep ycox cpeao oo c yeo ocoeoc aapyeo opac, paa aaa cpaeecoo oeaa pep; paa aaa pa poy cepe, opeeeo cpaeec oeao pep.

4. pecaee aepa oo coppoa apa pecypcx cpae (pee, opeee oeee pep a pe poocex x aopo pecypco pooceo eeoc pep).

5. Ha ocoe opaoax ax oec oooc oe cep pecypco, oop pacoaae pepe e ooey oy poecce pecpyypa acox poyox ooo pep. o ocoeo ao p papaoe ee acoo-ecoo cpae c yeo eyx ex ee ycox cpeao oo.

6. o peyaa aoc cpaeecoo aecx ao oo opee oooc pee oooaeaecx eoo oee oa e acox poyox ooo eeepepaaax eexecx pep ycox cpeao oo.

7. B paax peoeo oe pyooco pepe oe ocooac ce peyaa a aoo opae poecce p pee o oy oy poocy, opee acoo eopeeeoc cpe oe coppepoa e eyeo pa pep.

8. pao oece aa eye eeoc pep eeepepaaaeo eexecoo oeca oe peoe a peoeae aepa poecce poee oooex pao oac ypaeecoo ocaa, ocpoe cxe e ooo oa cpeecpoo epce.

Ocoe nooeu uccepmauu uoe ceyux paomax:

1. Mocy-ae M.. Cpae eyee apoae a eexecx pepx. //Xece pea, peae poecc aooao x: Te. o. eo Bcepoccco oepe o xec peaa.

PEATB-96.- a.- 1996.- C.130.

2. Mocy-ae M.. aeyo P.. ee aeaecoo aaa oppoa cpae pep eexecoo oeca epexo epo. // Heeepepaoa eex - 1996. 7-8.- C. 144.

3. Mocy-ae M.. poe oa oee eexecx pep epexo epo.

//Ayae poe coco pa eeaooo oeca Pocc: Te. o. 2- ayo-execa oepe, ocea 850-e Moc. Moca.- 1997.- C.6.

4. Movsumzade M.E. The problems of forming strategies of petrochemical industry in transition economics. // Second International Scientific Conference (Science, Development & Environment) Cairo, 1997. C. 5. Mocy-ae M.. Pacoaae opao epexoo oe eexecx pep. //Heeepepaoa eex. - 1997. 3.- C. 39.

6. Mocy-ae M.. Oea eeoc pep eexecoo oeca o a cacecoo aaa. //X exoo o ace.- 1997.- 2.- C. 22.

7. Mocy-ae M.. oppoae opaooo oa p apoa oee eexecx pep.

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