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42 0.0.0.-0.-0.98:02 98:03 98:04 98:05 98:06 98:07 98:98:02 98:03 98:04 98:05 98:06 98:07 98:DELTA_DS_BACK X BACK_ON_TRACK_DS Back-on-track Root Mean Squared Error 0.Mean Absolute Error 0.Mean Absolute Percent Error 0.,,,.

back-on-ave :

42 0.41 0.0.0.-0.-0.98 99 100 101 102 103 98 99 100 101 102 103 DELTA_BACK_ON_AV X BACK_ON_AVE Back-on-ave Root Mean Squared Error 0.Mean Absolute Error 0.Mean Absolute Percent Error 0.,.

4.3.8.

1 TS- DS- ( 01.1994-09.1997, 10.199704.1998).

TS- DS8.8.8.8.8.8.8.8.8.8.8.8.8.8.97:10 97:11 97:12 98:01 98:02 98:03 98:97:10 97:11 97:12 98:01 98:02 98:03 98:UNJOB FOREC_TS_FIX UNJOB FOREC_DS_FIX DSTS0.15 0.0.10 0.0.05 0.0.00 0.-0.-0.-0.-0.97:10 97:11 97:12 98:01 98:02 98:03 98:97:10 97:11 97:12 98:01 98:02 98:03 98:DELTA_DS_FIX DELTA_TS_FIX DS TS. DS. TS.

.

Root Mean Squared Error 0.070806 0.067143 0.070076 0.Mean Absolute Error 0.061088 0.060246 0.060714 0.Mean Absolute Percent Error 0.738836 0.727211 0.734373 0. :

TS-:

Back-on-track Back-on-ave 0.20 0.0.0.0.0.0.0.0.-0.-0.-0.10 -0.46 47 48 49 50 51 52 46 47 48 49 50 51 DELTA_BACK_ON_TR DELTA_BACK_ON_AV Back-on-track Back-on-ave Root Mean Squared Error 0.083033 0.Mean Absolute Error 0.067588 0.Mean Absolute Percent Error 0.816525 0.DS-:

Back-on-ave Back-on-track 0.20 0.0.0.0.0.0.0.0.-0.-0.-0.10 -0.46 47 48 49 50 51 52 46 47 48 49 50 51 DELTA_BACK_ON_TR DELTA_BACK_ON_AV Back-on-track Back-on-ave Root Mean Squared Error 0.083033 0.Mean Absolute Error 0.067588 0.Mean Absolute Percent Error 0.816525 0.,,,.

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