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Приложение 1. Сигналы, подаваемые индикаторами-предвестниками финансовой нестабильности в 1994 – 2006 гг.Отноше Индекс ние Реальн «Избыт давлени Сальдо денежно ый очное я на текущег Реальн й массы эффекти «предло Темп Бегство Внутрен валютн о счета ый M2 к вный жение роста Цены на капитал ний ый ПБ процент ЗВР курс денег Спрэд ВВП нефть а ЗВР Экспорт кредит рынок Январь 1994 0 0 0 Февраль 1994 0 0 0 Март 1994 0 0 0 Апрель 1994 0 1 0 Май 1994 0 0 0 Июнь 1994 0 0 0 Июль 1994 0 0 0 Август 1994 0 0 0 Сентябрь 1994 0 0 0 Октябрь 1994 0 0 0 Ноябрь 1994 0 0 0 Декабрь 1994 0 1 1 0 0 Январь 1995 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 Февраль 1995 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 Март 1995 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 Апрель 1995 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 Май 1995 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 Июнь 1995 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 Июль 1995 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 Август 1995 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Сентябрь 1995 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 – есть сигнал, 0 – нет сигнала.

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